Who Will Win in September?

When we gave our way-too-early Emmy predictions last May, we correctly predicted the winners in four out of seven races.Were kind of proud we called Julia Louis-Dreyfus and Claire Danes wins two months before the nominees were even announced. 

This years races,If we don't carry the bobblehead you want we can make a ultrasonicsensor for you! though, are much harder to call because of a huge wild card: Netflix, the streaming service that entered the game with the years best new drama,You must not use the drycabinet without being trained. "House of Cards," and the return of "Arrested Development." 

Will TV industry professionals roll out the welcome mat for an online service that could cost them their jobs? We have no idea. So with that caveat in mind, here are our very early, for-entertainment-purposes-only guesses about who will take home gold statuettes four long months from now. 

"Girls" always kept viewers guessing in its second season, taking almost as many risks as FXs "Louie." It is a fiercely intelligent and challenging show, but its only occasionally laugh-out-loud funny. "Veep," meanwhile, has just crackled. Not a word of dialog is wasted. "30 Rock" will probably score another nomination, but not a win, for its final season. The show as a whole was one of the best ever, but it refused to go soft with its goodbye season. The admirable lack of sentimentality will cost it. "The Office" may also get a nod, simply because its latest season was its last one. 

"The Big Bang Theory" will probably get another nod for delivering inoffensive comedy and being the most popular sitcom on TV.Choose the right personalizedbobbleheads in an array of colors. 

The big question, again, is whether the Academy might recognize Netflixs long-delayed fourth season of "Arrested Development," which was just released in one chunk, just before the Emmy deadline. Nominating "Arrested" would be a huge step: The TV industry would be essentially bringing its online competition into the fold, and Emmy voters could celebrate a great show that never quite got the audience or awards it deserved during its run on Fox. 

The race is between Julia Louis-Dreyfus, last years winner for "Veep," and Lena Dunham for "Girls." But Louis-Dreyfus will probably get an easy repeat for two reasons: First, shes excellent as the unabashedly self-centered title character. And second, voters will ding Dunham for being naked a lot when she arguably doesnt need to be and for her characters carefully crafted annoyingness. 

They may also capriciously and unfairly decide that at 26, the whip-smart writer-director-actress has plenty more time to win things. 

Laura Dern, on HBOs brilliant and painful comedy/drama "Enlightened," gave perhaps the best performance by any actress in the past year. Personally, Id vote for her in a heartbeat. But I dont think Emmy voters will even think to nominate her, given that she wasnt nominated last year, and her show has been canceled. 

So who else will round out the category? Amy Poehler deserves another nod for her to-be-treasured turn on "Parks and Recreation." Past winner Tina Fey should be nominated again for the final season of "30 Rock." Zooey Deschanel may be back for being so adorkable on "New Girl," but Id rather see Mindy Kaling score a nod for "The Mindy Project." And we wouldnt be at all surprised to see the return of past winners Melissa McCarthy for "Mike & Molly" or Edie Falco for "Nurse Jackie." 

Actually, the time was last year or the year before, but thats OK. The comedian and his brilliant FX series, "Louie," were still new and unfamiliar to viewers then. Now he has reached the media saturation point, and voters may be ready to recognize his -- not using this word lightly -- genius. 

He won in two writing categories last yeargood job, Emmys, but C.K. the performer has to sell the bits he writes, and some of them are extraordinarily difficult. 

As for the other contenders: Not many people predicted Jon Cryers win last year for "Two and a Half Men," which was essentially an acknowledgement that he kept the show steady after Charlie Sheens exit and Ashton Kutchers addition. Hes unlikely to repeat -- and may not even get another nod. 

Emmy voters are under no pressure to give another Emmy to Alec Baldwin, either, but the "30 Rock" star does deserve another nomination for staying ruthlessly funny to the end. Always endearing "Big Bang Theory" star Jim Parsons has won twice already. 

Don Cheadle will probably be nominated again for Showtimes "House of Lies," but this doesnt feel like his year to win. That leaves room for at least one more nominee. It wouldnt be a shock for Johnny Galecki,You must not use the rfidtag without being trained.We provide payment solutions in the USA as well as buymosaic. Parsons co-star, to return to the running, given that their show is still surging in popularity. 

"House of Cards" got critical raves this season, so this will be another test of whether the industry is ready to give Netflix its blessing. Since we published this story in our EmmyWrap magazine earlier this month, I've been reminded that FX's "The Americans" also scored with critics and is very much in contention, and Sundance's "Rectify" has earned lots of buzz for its short first season. 

This is a potentially wild category. Last years winner, "Homeland," was perceived by many critics to suffer a sophomore slump. If Emmy voters agree, that could throw open the race. The "Homeland" win broke a four-year streak for AMCs "Mad Men," which likely wont win again until next season, its last one. 

Its absurd, meanwhile, that "Breaking Bad" has never won. But the first half of its final season, which aired in the eligibility period, felt too much like a setup for the fireworks to come. I'd nominate it in a second, but don't know if Emmy voters will. 

Perpetual nominee "Downton Abbey" will likely be back after a particularly eventful season. And HBOs "Game of Thrones" and "Boardwalk Empire" deserve to return as well. FXs Soviet spy drama "The Americans" keeps getting better, but it may have too much action and not enough weeping for Emmy voters tastes. 

"The Walking Dead" provided some of the most gripping, scream-at-your-screen moments of the year, but Emmy voters cant seem to get past the gore and zombies. 

So if "House of Cards" or other new shows join the category, what will they bump? Perhaps -- I know this sounds crazy -- "Breaking Bad." The same voters adventurous enough to vote for the meth drama may also be willing to give Netflix its due -- while making plans to recognize "Breaking Bad" next year, finally, for its final episodes.